Short answer: In Tucson, AZ, the median home value is $299,700 and the median 3-bedroom rents for $1,688/mo (Census ACS 2024). That's a rent-to-price ratio of 0.56%, so it misses the 1% rule and ranks #18 of the 50 largest US rental markets. With 20% down at 7.40%, FirstDoor scores a median-priced home Pass (−$549/mo cash flow).
Key numbers
The 1% rule in Tucson
Before running a full analysis, many investors check whether rent is at least 1% of price. This is where Tucson lands.
Across all rentals (not just 3-bedrooms) the ratio is 0.41%. A home renting for the median 3-bedroom rent would need to cost about $169,000 or less to pass.
A typical Tucson home, scored
We took a home at the median value, gave it the median 3-bedroom rent, and ran it through the same math as the FirstDoor calculator: 20% down, a 30-year loan at 7.40%, the city's median tax rate, and standard expense budgets.
| 3-bedroom rent (median) | $1,688 |
| Property tax ($1,774/yr, local median) | −$148 |
| Insurance ($1,500/yr, assumed) | −$125 |
| Vacancy 5% · Maintenance 5% · Management 8% | −$304 |
| Net operating income | $1,111 |
| Mortgage (P&I on $239,760 at 7.40%) | −$1,660 |
| Monthly cash flow | −$549 |
What price works in Tucson?
Same rent, different prices. Here's the most you could pay in Tucson for each result, keeping the median 3-bedroom rent and local tax rate.
Takeaways
- A 0.56% rent-to-price ratio puts Tucson in the middle of the pack (#18 of 50). Expect to hunt for below-median prices to make the numbers work.
- A median-priced home here would cost you about $549/mo out of pocket after the mortgage and every expense. To break even you'd need to pay about $215,000, 28% below the median.
- Prices are outrunning rents: home values rose 5.5% from 2023 to 2024 while 3-bedroom rent rose 0.5%. The 1% math got tougher.
- Property taxes are light: the median bill is $1,774, about 0.59% of value versus 0.89% nationally.
- Renters already spend a median 32.8% of income on rent, so don't count on big rent increases.
Frequently asked questions
Does Tucson pass the 1% rule?
No, on typical numbers. The median 3-bedroom gross rent is $1,688/mo and the median home value is $299,700 (Census ACS 2024 1-year), a ratio of 0.56%. To pass at that rent, a home would need to cost about $169,000 or less.
What is the typical rent for a 3-bedroom in Tucson?
The median gross rent for a 3-bedroom in Tucson, AZ is $1,688 a month, and $1,235 across all rentals (Census ACS 2024 1-year). Gross rent includes utilities the renter pays, so the landlord's share can be a bit lower. The 3-bedroom median rose 0.5% from 2023.
Can you cash flow a rental in Tucson?
At the median price, not easily. With 20% down at 7.40% and realistic expenses, a $299,700 home renting for $1,688 loses about $549/mo. It breaks even at roughly $215,000.
How much cash do you need to buy a typical rental in Tucson?
About $68,940: a 20% down payment of $59,940 plus closing costs we assume at 3% ($9,000). Lenders often also want several months of reserves. Investment loans commonly need 15–25% down.
Is Tucson a good place to buy a first rental?
FirstDoor scores a median-priced home in Tucson as Pass (0 of 8 points). That's a starting point, not a verdict on every listing: neighborhoods vary, and buying below the median changes the math. Run any listing through the free calculator.
Compare similar markets
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Sources
Data: U.S. Census Bureau, 2024 American Community Survey 1-year estimates (released September 2025); year-over-year changes compare with 2023. Mortgage rate: Freddie Mac PMMS, week of October 15, 2026. Retrieved October 15, 2026. Insurance ($1,500/yr), closing costs (3%), maintenance (5%) and management (8%) are FirstDoor assumptions, not local data. Investment-property loans often price above the PMMS average. Medians describe the whole city, not any one home. Educational content, not financial advice.